CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 75.00% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
The per-ounce price of silver rose 23.37% in the 12 months to August 2024. After repeatedly testing the $30 level, the precious metal hit a 12-year high of $31.80/oz in May 2024. A surge in demand, combined with a supply deficit, is forecasted to push silver prices further up. Commodity traders must refine their strategies to take advantage of the volatility in the silver markets.
Did you know that about 50% of silver demand comes from industrial applications? The demand for the white metal may reach 1.2 billion ounces in 2024, propelled by a few major industries.
The burgeoning AI segment is a major consumer of silver, for fabricating smart microchips. The AI chip market is predicted to expand at a CAGR of 38.16% during 2024-2033. These chips are critical to the growth of deep learning, machine learning and analytics. The exceptional conduction capabilities of the white metal make it suitable for the AI industry. This is because low electrical resistance means expedited decision-making and massive data analysis. Bulls even claim that the AI surge can drive XAG/USD to $100.
The Paris Climate Agreement requires a worldwide transformation to green and clean energy by 2050. The carbon-neutral vision may consume up to 98% of the 2023 global silver reserves. PV cells are a key component of solar devices. N-type cells, one of the latest higher-efficiency solar cells, have higher silver loadings. According to a report by the Silver Institute, white metal demand is set to intensify as N-type PV cells undergo mass production and consumption.
The number of electric vehicles running worldwide is forecast to grow 12 times the 2024 value by 2035. High conductivity and ductility make silver suitable for electric vehicles (EVs). It is lightweight and a key component of the strong alloys used to make EV components. Battery charging equipment consumes about 25 grams of silver per vehicle and much more for charging stations. As the industry grows, silver demand is bound to expand.
In addition to these industries, jewellery and silverware demand also supports the metal’s price. With bulk gains from India, as gold becomes costlier, will drive silver demand up 6%. India is also forecasted to be a key driver of silverware demand by 9% in 2024. China, being the global leader in PV cell and EV production, is predicted to be a key propeller of silver demand in 2024 and beyond.
The demand for the white metal had exceeded its supply for 3 consecutive years in 2023. Silver registered a structural deficit of 184.3 million ounces, a gap that is expected to grow further and reach 215 million ounces in 2024. Silver is mostly found with other base metals, such as zinc and copper. Due to mine closures, the production of silver is forecasted to remain strained. A reduction in silver scrap and jewellery discard may lower the production of recycled silver by 3%. Due to a 3% improvement in supply through 2024, the precious metal deficit may ease to 9%, although it still remains at historically high levels.
After the March to May 2024 rally, XAG/USD hit a bit of a slump due to the strengthening of the Japanese yen. Also, delayed rate cuts by the Fed weighed on the silver markets. However, as the markets regained their calm and the possibility of the Fed beginning its interest rates cuts rose, the white metal recovered its losses by mid-August. It now looks poised to hit record highs in H2 2024. In fact, the Silver Institute expects the white metal to even outperform gold, once the Fed initiates rate cuts. Silver traders must carefully watch CPI and PPI reports, as cooling inflation may signal deeper rate cuts, which will support precious metals like gold and silver. Also, monitoring US retail sales data can give insights into consumers’ spending temperament. The impact of the Fed’s interest rate policies and inflation on consumption reflects on the demand for silver, such as in the form of jewellery.
High industrial demand ties silver prices closely to the health of the overall economy and business cycles. These make it the commodity volatile, creating more opportunities for traders. Using contracts for differences (CFDs) to trade silver and other precious metals is a popular practice. CFDs allow you to take advantage of rising and falling silver prices. Trading precious metals in bullion requires higher capital, whereas CFDs are traded on margin, lowering the entry barriers to the silver markets manifold.
A word of caution for beginners here: margin trading amplifies profit and loss potential. This necessitates risk management while trading with derivative instruments like CFDs. Employing risk management strategies, such as stop-loss, take-profits, trailing stop loss and hedging a long position with a short one, are popular among CFD traders.
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